Fighting Coronavirus Together.
We all are facing a situation that the world has not seen in a long time. Each and every person right now is struggling on his or her level to overcome this situation. Our doctors and police are saving lives outside while we all are saving lives staying home. This is much appreciable that people all over the world are following lockdown very sincerely and giving a great contribution to fight this pandemic.
I guess by now everyone knows that Newton discovered gravity during the lockdown caused by “the great plaque”. A hell lot of creativity has been sprouted in all of us during this lockdown. Challenges sailing in social media from coffee to clothes we have we have tried so many things. But do you know why for this modern 20th-century virus we are still using the age-old tool of lockdown?
Fighting Coronavirus Together
Everyone by now knows what lockdown is, we all are practicing it now for more than a month, well I was amused and wanted to know how it works to stop a disease just by making people sit at home. If you are a statistician, you must know it, but if you are not, then stay with me in this article “Fighting Coronavirus Together.”
Nature by itself always follows a natural curve of increment and decrement, which is called the normal distribution.
Taking the example from the social media itself, a trend starts in social media, it picks up reaches its max then saturates and after that declining starts, the same is the case with the height of any sample of human population and unfortunately with the disease as well.
A disease especially which is communicable will follow this trend provided no human or medical intervention is made onto it. The spreading rate and the base population decide when the peak will happen, which means when the complete population will get affected.
Stay Home Stay Safe
A country like India with such a large population base even a fragile mortality rate can be dreadful. So what lockdown can do into it.
Well if we can segment the total population into several small population segments the resultant number of infected is drastically reduced.
If ideally, we can segment to such an extent that no person is in contact with others, we can stop the virus with arbitrary accuracy. But there is no 100 percent lockdown possible, so in a practical situation, the lockdown suppresses the curve and the peak.
Well not only to health but this peak is a critical threat to the health system of a country, if in a country no matter how robust its health services are cannot take care of a complete population at a time. This lockdown by suppressing the curve provides vital time for the organization to build the necessary infrastructure.
Predictions And Preventions Of Coronavirus
The study right now suggests that the peak in our country will appear in mid of May. But the problem with such a model is a slight mistake in its implementation can destroy the predictions. We can take analogy from cancer in the body. Even the evanescent part remains in the body soon the cancerous tissue came back with much power.
Fighting Coronavirus Together.
Lockdown is very important in present circumstances and is expected to further increase after 3 May.
Another aspect that can finally put the stop button to this is a vaccine. The whole world is waiting for the divine blesses of the vaccine. But he problem is no amount of money can speed up the process of vaccine testing and trails.
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